UPDATED: 10-13-25 17:46 PDT

cfp So Florida 1
  
So Florida            
W-L: ( 6- 6) PR = 89.6976

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 831 H Bethune-Cookman 48- 3 907 A Alabama SEC ( 9- 3, 96.5) 16-42 914 A So Miss SUN ( 1-11, 83.8) 49-24 921 H Miami ACC (10- 2, 96.6) 15-50 928 A Tulane American ( 9- 4, 93.4) 10-45 1012 H Memphis American (10- 2, 93.3) 3-21 1019 H UAB American ( 3- 9, 87.7) 35-25 1101 A Fla Atlantic American ( 3- 9, 86.5) 44-21 1109 H Navy American ( 8- 3, 92.9) 7-28 1116 A Charlotte American ( 5- 7, 89.1) 59-24 1123 H Tulsa American ( 3- 9, 85.6) 63-13 1130 A Rice American ( 4- 8, 89.0) 28-35

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   907 A Alabama                16-42     -26    -8           0.00
   914 A So Miss                49-24      25     5           0.02
   921 H Miami                  15-50     -35    -6           0.00
   928 A Tulane                 10-45     -35    -5          -0.39
  1012 H Memphis                 3-21     -18    -3    -     -2.30
  1019 H UAB                    35-25      10     3    +      2.10
  1101 A Fla Atlantic           44-21      23     2    +      2.74
  1109 H Navy                    7-28     -21    -2    -     -2.67
  1116 A Charlotte              59-24      35     0    ++     5.27
  1123 H Tulsa                  63-13      50     5           0.01
  1130 A Rice                   28-35      -7     0    --    -4.79

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
  1130 A Rice                   28-35      -7     0    --    -4.79
  1012 H Memphis                 3-21     -18    -3    -     -2.30
  1109 H Navy                    7-28     -21    -2    -     -2.67

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
  1116 A Charlotte              59-24      35     0    ++     5.27
  1019 H UAB                    35-25      10     3    +      2.10
  1101 A Fla Atlantic           44-21      23     2    +      2.74

So Florida Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Boston Col ` Boston Col `   Boston Col `
California California tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) California
Clemson Clemson   Clemson
Duke Duke tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Duke
Florida St Florida St tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Florida St
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Georgia Tech
Louisville Louisville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Louisville
Miami Miami Miami  
UNC UNC tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) UNC
NC St NC St   NC St
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh   Pittsburgh
SMU SMU   SMU
Stanford Stanford   Stanford
Syracuse Syracuse insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Syracuse
Virginia Virginia   Virginia
Va Tech Va Tech tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Va Tech
Wake Forest Wake Forest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wake Forest
Army Army Army   5- 0 vs 3- 2
Charlotte So Florida So Florida  
Ea Carolina Ea Carolina insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Ea Carolina
Fla Atlantic So Florida So Florida  
Memphis Memphis Memphis  
Navy Navy Navy  
No Texas No Texas tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) No Texas
Rice Rice Rice  
Temple So Florida tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) So Florida
Tulane Tulane Tulane  
Tulsa So Florida So Florida  
UAB So Florida So Florida  
UTSA UTSA tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) UTSA
Arizona Arizona   Arizona
Arizona St Arizona St   Arizona St
BYU BYU   BYU
Baylor Baylor   Baylor
Cincinnati Cincinnati   Cincinnati
Colorado Colorado   Colorado
Houston Houston insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Houston
Iowa St Iowa St   Iowa St
Kansas Kansas   Kansas
Kansas St Kansas St insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Kansas St
Oklahoma St Oklahoma St tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Oklahoma St
TCU TCU   TCU
Texas Tech Texas Tech   Texas Tech
UCF UCF   UCF
Utah Utah   Utah
We Virginia We Virginia   We Virginia
Illinois Illinois   Illinois
Indiana Indiana tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Indiana
Iowa Iowa   Iowa
Maryland Maryland   Maryland
Michigan Michigan   Michigan
Michigan St Michigan St tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Michigan St
Minnesota Minnesota   Minnesota
Nebraska Nebraska   Nebraska
Northwestern Northwestern   Northwestern
Ohio St Ohio St   Ohio St
Oregon Oregon   Oregon
Penn St Penn St   Penn St
Purdue So Florida   So Florida
Rutgers Rutgers   Rutgers
UCLA UCLA   UCLA
USC USC   USC
Washington Washington   Washington
Wisconsin Wisconsin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wisconsin
Florida Intl So Florida insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) So Florida
Jacksonv. St So Florida tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) So Florida
Kennesaw St So Florida   So Florida
Liberty So Florida   So Florida
La Tech So Florida insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) So Florida
Middle Tenn So Florida tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) So Florida
NM St So Florida   So Florida
SHouston St SHouston St insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) SHouston St
UTEP So Florida   So Florida
We Kentucky So Florida tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) So Florida
UMass So Florida   So Florida
Notre Dame Notre Dame insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Notre Dame
UConn UConn insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) UConn
Akron So Florida   So Florida
Ball St So Florida tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) So Florida
Bowl. Green Bowl. Green   Bowl. Green
Buffalo So Florida   So Florida
Cen Michigan So Florida   So Florida
Ea Michigan So Florida   So Florida
Kent State So Florida   So Florida
MiamiOH MiamiOH   MiamiOH
No Illinois No Illinois   No Illinois
Ohio Ohio   Ohio
Toledo So Florida   So Florida
We Michigan So Florida   So Florida
Air Force So Florida tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) So Florida
Boise State Boise State   Boise State
Colorado St Colorado St   Colorado St
Fresno St Fresno St   Fresno St
Hawaii So Florida   So Florida
Nevada So Florida   So Florida
New Mexico So Florida   So Florida
San Diego St So Florida   So Florida
San Jose St San Jose St   San Jose St
UNLV UNLV   UNLV
Utah St So Florida   So Florida
Wyoming So Florida   So Florida
Oregon St Oregon St   Oregon St
Wash St Wash St   Wash St
Alabama Alabama Alabama  
Arkansas Arkansas tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Arkansas
Auburn Auburn tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Auburn
Florida Florida tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Florida
Georgia Georgia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Georgia
Kentucky Kentucky tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Kentucky
LSU LSU tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) LSU
Missouri Missouri tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Missouri
Miss St So Florida   So Florida
Oklahoma Oklahoma Oklahoma   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Ole Miss Ole Miss   Ole Miss
So Carolina So Carolina tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) So Carolina
Tennessee Tennessee insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Tennessee
Texas Texas   Texas
Texas A&M Texas A&M   Texas A&M
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Vanderbilt
App St App St   App St
Arkansas State Arkansas State tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Arkansas State
Coastal Car Coastal Car   Coastal Car
Georgia So Georgia So   Georgia So
Georgia St So Florida   So Florida
J Madison J Madison tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) J Madison
Louisiana Louisiana tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Louisiana
Marshall Marshall tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Marshall
Old Dominion Old Dominion   Old Dominion
So Miss So Florida So Florida  
So Alabama So Alabama tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) So Alabama
Texas State Texas State tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Texas State
Troy So Florida tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) So Florida
La-Monroe So Florida tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) So Florida

PowerWise = 36


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.10

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Alabama         ( 9- 3, 96.5)    16-42       -3.44      14.82       0.91         1.10            -2.79
   0 A So Miss         ( 1-11, 83.8)    49-24      -16.09       2.16       0.91         1.10             3.38
   0 H Miami           (10- 2, 96.6)    15-50       -3.29      14.97      -0.91         1.10            -4.62
   0 A Tulane          ( 9- 4, 93.4)    10-45       -6.49      11.76       0.91         1.10            -6.15
   0 H Memphis         (10- 2, 93.3)     3-21       -6.60      11.65      -0.91         1.10            -8.26
   0 H UAB             ( 3- 9, 87.7)    35-25      -12.19       6.06      -0.91         1.10             5.68
   0 A Fla Atlantic    ( 3- 9, 86.5)    44-21      -13.37       4.89       0.91         1.10             6.37
   0 H Navy            ( 8- 3, 92.9)     7-28       -6.97      11.29      -0.91         1.10            -8.66
   0 A Charlotte       ( 5- 7, 89.1)    59-24      -10.84       7.42       0.91         1.10             9.16
   0 H Tulsa           ( 3- 9, 85.6)    63-13      -14.28       3.97      -0.91         1.10             3.37
   0 A Rice            ( 4- 8, 89.0)    28-35      -10.90       7.36       0.91         1.10           -11.00
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -13.51

winning pts = 27.9624 losing points = -41.4731

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------